I just got an inquiry from a client, and rather than just answer it in private, I thought why not share my thoughts here, because you might find them interesting. Its a little early for a predictions post, but I can follow up later. Why only 9 trends? Because the list isn’t finished and you’re bound to suggest some good ones! 😉
Q: Can you talk to technology and innovation trends for the IT industry, business model changes and any other challenges that you think will continue or develop in the coming year.
- Ubiquitous analytics. In 2010 business intelligence will become less about the power user, and more about democratised access to the ad hoc query. In memory databases will underpin the trend.
- Location, location, location: the new frontier in app dev is location-aware applications and services, for internal, asset and service management, and B2C.
- Which underpins a new wave of mobile services as smart phones become pervasive. Augmented Reality will begin to make a mark in the mobile space. Initial experiences in Europe are likely to be in augmented tourism next summer – where you point your phone at a building and it shows you the associated wikipedia entry.
- Greener business processes through deeper instrumentation, more effective automation and orchestration. Smart Grids, LessWater, LessCoal etc. Resource footprint reduction will be a megatrend from here on in. See IBM’s Smarter Planet.
- Google will significantly ramp up enterprise efforts – notably in sales, but also ecosystem partnerships with the likes of Deloitte and the other Big SIs.
- Hybrid Cloud and On Premise models for the enterprise. Hybrid is now just the reality of how we get things done. Just as open source began as a fringe activity, but captured the mainstream, so SaaS and Cloud are increasingly just an economic and technical reality. Cloud doesn’t replace on premise, it augments it.
- That said, the Big Cloud Backlash will be in full effect in 2010, after all the hype in 2009.
- SOA without the SOA. The hard work done by Oracle, SAP and others will begin to bear fruit. Not in terms of the acronyms loved by Architecture Astronauts such as XML Web Services, WSDL, UDDI and other acronyms – but the componentisation of application suites into more modular services makes them far more amenable to web-based integration.
- A big upswing in enterprise demerger activity…. notably in financial services. See today’s EU-led banking announcements, for example. Financial services companies that took major state bailouts are going to be split up. The Great Unbundling offers significant opportunities, but also threats, for technology providers.
monkchips says:
November 3, 2009 at 11:34 am
James Governor’s Monkchips » What’s in store for 2010? 9 Trends http://bit.ly/4rzA5f I would love to know your thoughts. please comment. 🙂
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JohnSimonds says:
November 3, 2009 at 12:03 pm
James Governer @monkchips weighs in on 2010 trends http://bit.ly/3YGMeq
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jenrobinson says:
November 3, 2009 at 1:02 pm
Nice quick take on projected tech trends for 2010: James Governor’s Monkchips » What’s in store for 2010? 9 Trends http://bit.ly/4rzA5f
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IanSkerrett says:
November 3, 2009 at 1:33 pm
interesting list of 2010 trends from @monkchips http://ow.ly/yQVO
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ananeves says:
November 3, 2009 at 2:20 pm
2010 trends: 6 Social Media Trends (via @agranado) http://j.mp/mkowE and 9 Trends by @monkchips (via @dominiccampbell) http://bit.ly/4rzA5f
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Leisa Reichelt says:
November 3, 2009 at 4:06 pm
and now for my longer than 140char comment! I’d be really interested to get your thoughts on where User Experience fits into the overall IT/Business mindshare at the moment. I’d love to think that it was going to be a trend for 2010, but then, as a UX Consultant, I’m a little biased.
I know that I’ve never been busier and I’m fielding lots more requests for work than I can handle, but at the same time I’m pretty pessimistic about the level of importance that most larger businesses are placing on UX.
It strikes me that there is still a lot of scratching around on the interface and not much investment in real, far reaching User Experience strategies (and appropriately high level resources).
Would be interested to hear your perspective.
Marc Dierens says:
November 3, 2009 at 4:16 pm
Apple will take a shot at 2 industries: one with the tablet to offer newspaper and magazines in e-format, and one with a subscription service via iTunes so people no longer have to watch TV through a cable subscription.
jeremyday says:
November 3, 2009 at 9:25 pm
James Governor’s Monkchips » What’s in store for 2010? 9 Trends, Quick Take http://bit.ly/3huERD
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TechnoTrendz says:
November 3, 2009 at 10:35 pm
James Governor’s Monkchips » What’s in store for 2010? 9 Trends …: Q: Can you talk to technology and .. http://bit.ly/1XYbX9
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renaissance chambara alias Ged Carroll - Links of the day says:
November 4, 2009 at 12:03 am
[…] James Governor’s Monkchips » What’s in store for 2010? 9 Trends, Quick Take […]
DE says:
November 4, 2009 at 2:20 am
Zzzz
James Governor says:
November 4, 2009 at 9:35 am
ah mr eastman you are a chap, aren’t you.
rpolom says:
November 4, 2009 at 9:12 am
What’s in store for 2010? 9 Trends, Quick Take http://bit.ly/3YGMeq
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Hnedle says:
November 4, 2009 at 2:27 pm
Augmented Tourism / list of trends for 2010 … http://bit.ly/4rzA5f @monkchips (via @leisa) #trends
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davebriggs says:
November 6, 2009 at 9:48 am
What’s in store for 2010? by @monkchips http://bit.ly/3YGMeq
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Kemi says:
November 6, 2009 at 3:19 pm
What about the rise and rise of social media. have we reached a peak? or it is only going to continue growing
bfholmes says:
November 10, 2009 at 8:20 pm
Early trend prediction, what do you think? What’s in store for 2010? 9 Trends, Quick Take http://ow.ly/B4mr
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2 visions of 2010 – smart enough & worth reading: http://ow.ly/GUWS + http://ow.ly/GUXl
This comment was originally posted on Twitter
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Ryan says:
December 23, 2009 at 6:45 pm
Hey James,
Great predictions for 2010. Appistry a client of mine is compiling all the cloud predictions for 2010 from around the web here: http://bit.ly/89LHhw. I’ll add some of your great points to the list; come check them out and jump in the conversation. Happy holidays!
Trends – Predictions for 2010 « Zabisco Blog says:
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[…] summer-where you point your phone at a building and it shows you the associated Wikipedia entry. (view source by James Governor […]
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