{"id":5357,"date":"2025-07-18T17:39:06","date_gmt":"2025-07-18T17:39:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/?p=5357"},"modified":"2025-07-19T13:35:35","modified_gmt":"2025-07-19T13:35:35","slug":"giants-awaken-google-geminicli-aws-kiro-developer-experience-and-the-need-to-ship-and-keep-shipping","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/giants-awaken-google-geminicli-aws-kiro-developer-experience-and-the-need-to-ship-and-keep-shipping\/","title":{"rendered":"Giants awaken. Google Cloud GeminiCLI, AWS Kiro, developer experience and the need to ship and keep shipping"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/files\/2025\/07\/bigbang-scaled.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-5358\" src=\"http:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/files\/2025\/07\/bigbang-1024x683.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/files\/2025\/07\/bigbang-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/files\/2025\/07\/bigbang-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/files\/2025\/07\/bigbang-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/files\/2025\/07\/bigbang-1536x1024.png 1536w, https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/files\/2025\/07\/bigbang-2048x1365.png 2048w, https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/files\/2025\/07\/bigbang-480x320.png 480w, https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/files\/2025\/07\/bigbang-941x627.png 941w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">During this period of AI-driven cosmological inflation in tech there is a market premium on shipping. You\u2019re either shipping or you\u2019re being left behind. S-curves and exponential growth are the order of the day. Lovable is a unicorn eight months after launch. In June 2025, Replit CEO Amjad Masad announced that his company had crossed $100M ARR, up from just $10M at the end of 2024.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Aggression, developer experience and shipping product are everything right now. As an industry analyst it\u2019s hard to keep up with the pace of innovation. As I have said &#8211; <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/2025\/02\/21\/ai-disruption-code-editors-are-up-for-grabs\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">everything is in play<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. My colleague Stephen <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/sogrady\/2025\/07\/09\/promiscuity-of-modern-developers\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">concurs.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Take Google, for example, which is playing the game adroitly, and steering into the curve.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">AI was always Google&#8217;s market to lose. Of all of the hyperscalers and major tech vendors Google was the most associated with AI, and felt with some justification that it was uniquely ready to benefit from AI. So when ChatGPT dropped and the world suddenly changed, Google ended up on the back foot. OpenAI had built on the Transformer model Google had invented (see the seminal paper <a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/arxiv.org\/abs\/1706.03762&amp;sa=D&amp;source=docs&amp;ust=1752859600988759&amp;usg=AOvVaw0EsEY-fYR66x_7IjrU7cvf\">Attention is All You Need<\/a>) &#8211; productising Google\u2019s invention. The best packager in any tech wave wins, and wins big.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Inventing a technology is of course no guarantee of success in tech. Xerox invented modern desktop computing, only to see Apple and Microsoft and Apple dominate the space. IBM invented the relational model only to see Oracle dominate the market for SQL databases.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So ChatGPT dropping in late 2022 was a burning platform moment for Google. It was Netscape in 1994, or the iPhone in 2007.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Google was on the back foot through 2023, but last year it hit its stride in terms of delivering on the promise of AI, and this year it\u2019s in increasingly good shape. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Its current push around its capable Gemini frontier model is a case study in big company aggression. At Google Next in April it had its swagger back. With a set of industry partners it launched A2A, an industry standard framework for agent to agent communication. But it also made it very clear that it was also adopting the competing Model Context Protocol. But most importantly in terms of swagger, Google was able to lead with Gemini 2.5. A month later, at Google I\/O, it had plenty more to say and launch. Two events in the space of just a few weeks, both packed with news.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">With the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/blog.google\/technology\/developers\/introducing-gemini-cli-open-source-ai-agent\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">launch of GeminiCLI<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in June 2025 put down a marker &#8211; an open source Cloud Code competitor, built from the ground up by a small Google team, with a focus on getting to market as quickly as possible. Perhaps just as impressive as the launch itself is the rate of new feature delivery &#8211; for example launching support for cutting and pasting images into the CLI (a favourite feature in coding agents and assistants of my colleague Kate Holterhoff) just a few weeks after the initial launch.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oh yeah, <a href=\"https:\/\/github.com\/google-gemini\/gemini-cli\">GeminiCLI<\/a> is already at 61k GitHub stars and 5.6k forks since launch last month &#8211; maybe there\u2019s life in open source yet.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Game on. And then there\u2019s Google CEO Sundar Pinchai casually hiring some of Windsurf&#8217;s senior staff, including CEO Varun Mohan and co-founder Douglas Chen, and licensing a chunk of its IP in a deal worth $2.4bn to further accelerate its own efforts. This after some outlets had reported that OpenAI had already acquired Windsurf. TDLR &#8211; OpenAI and Meta definitely aren\u2019t going to get <em>all<\/em> the talent. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">DeepMind is still an aspirational place to carry out fundamental research in AI. And apparently, it pays well.\u00a0<\/span>Google is back in the game. Like I saw, swagger.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But what of Amazon Web Services, which has been uncharacteristically uncertain in the face of the AI big bang, shipping enterprise products like Bedrock, but leaving developers cold with some of its other efforts? <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This week it seems to have finally shaken off its shackles. It launched <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/kirodev\/blog\/introducing-kiro\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kiro<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, a vibe coding tool, which attempts to bring back a little software engineering rigour alongside the You Only Live Once (YOLO) vibes, with a spec-driven development approach. <a href=\"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/kholterhoff\/2025\/07\/14\/ai-engineers-and-the-hot-vibe-code-summer\/\">Vibe coding meets AI Engineering<\/a>. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kiro&#8217;s reception by developers has been really positive &#8211;\u00a0 so much so that the service has been returning errors, and Amazon has had to reintroduce a waitlist, to throttle adoption.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Even Corey Quinn is <a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/quinnypig.com\/post\/3ltwkewvyhs2f\">impressed<\/a>. The RedMonk team has already kicked Kiro&#8217;s tyres a fair bit, and Kate likes it enough to be using it most evenings, and <a href=\"https:\/\/buttondown.com\/redmonk\/archive\/redmonk-june-2025-update\/\">coined<\/a> the phrase <\/span><b><i>Hot Vibe Code Summer <\/i><\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">accordingly.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Talking of heat, Deepak Singh, AWS VP DevEx &amp; Agents lit the fire with this product. Having helped drive AWS to success in the container market he\u2019s now leading efforts here. Intriguingly Kiro isn\u2019t branded AWS or even Amazon, it stands alone &#8211;\u00a0 it is simply Kiro. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Amazon is going to markedly increase velocity in building its AI dev tools. Kiro: watch this space.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As I <a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/posts\/jamesgovernor_if-amazon-web-services-aws-plays-its-cards-activity-7351650704136060929-nq1I&amp;sa=D&amp;source=docs&amp;ust=1752859600989846&amp;usg=AOvVaw0a0X-YXcnVy9i5sh_mtA3a\">said on linkedin<\/a> this week <\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If Amazon Web Services (AWS) plays its cards right with<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kiro it&#8217;s going to be one of the company&#8217;s fastest growing products ever. People like the tool. If Amazon can get out of the way, play the token game adroitly, and scale the service, it will be in really good shape. One way or another this is the most successful developer launch from AWS we&#8217;ve seen in a long time. The team deserves a lot of credit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Selling to enterprises isn&#8217;t enough. You&#8217;ve got to sell to the builders.<\/span> Kiro<a href=\"http:\/\/kiro.dev\/\">\u00a0<\/a><span>takes that very much to heart.<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If you\u2019re wondering about my take on Microsoft, in the context of this piece you should read this <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/2025\/06\/20\/microsoft-build-2025-agents-models-github-and-beast-mode-windows\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">post<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> about its Build conference &#8211; the TDLR is essentially that Microsoft is in decent shape, but really needs a moonshot for its own Frontier LLM model.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">To conclude &#8211; the industry giants of the cloud buildout may have taken a while to get their gets together and start successfully addressing AI market opportunities, but we\u2019re certainly seeing interesting moves that map to the needs for aggressive shipping, with a much stronger focus on developer experience in the AI cosmic inflation era.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>disclosure: AWS, Google Cloud, and Microsoft are all clients.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>During this period of AI-driven cosmological inflation in tech there is a market premium on shipping. You\u2019re either shipping or you\u2019re being left behind. S-curves and exponential growth are the order of the day. Lovable is a unicorn eight months after launch. In June 2025, Replit CEO Amjad Masad announced that his company had crossed<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":"","footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5357","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9wfjh-1op","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5357","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5357"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5357\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5357"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5357"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/jgovernor\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5357"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}