{"id":1188,"date":"2008-02-07T20:23:02","date_gmt":"2008-02-08T02:23:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.redmonk.com\/cote\/2008\/02\/07\/sas2008-gambling-on-utopia\/"},"modified":"2008-02-07T20:23:02","modified_gmt":"2008-02-08T02:23:02","slug":"sas2008-gambling-on-utopia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/cote\/2008\/02\/07\/sas2008-gambling-on-utopia\/","title":{"rendered":"SAS2008: Gambling on Utopia"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Sun&#8217;s story is the same and more eloquent than ever: telcos will accept open-think finally, emerging markets will leap-frog over using closed, hegemonic technology for their IT build-up preferring open, flexible nirvanas, and the tried and true cash-pipe of 1st world enterprise data-centers will see that the combo of Solaris &#038; those perfect looking aluminum-cased boxes are what running data-centers deserve to be like.<\/p>\n<p>As each of these transformations transpire, Sun will be the sort of only one standing who can drop a stack of open goodness on demand, even helicoptering some of those black boxes if you just can&#8217;t wait. Sun is banking on utopia coming, using present revenue and people-ejecting to pay for the gas and cigarettes on the long car trip.<\/p>\n<p>Telcos opening up; emerging markets giving the finger to Microsoft, IBM, and the army of high-priced IT consultants I battle for flight upgrades; data-center buying going the way of Apple marketing and culting. If you think even one of those will come to pass, Sun is the vision for you.<\/p>\n<p>At one of the analyst event dinners I ended up sitting next to the largest individual Sun share-holder. This man had gobs of his own cash tied up on the utopia bet. He seemed laid back and friendly, and wise enough to leave early when the main entertainment &#8211; a panel with a Facebook exec and Virgin Galactic&#8217;s president &#8211; didn&#8217;t have anything to do with answering the question &#8220;you utopia-runners gonna grow my cash or shred it?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The Sun faithful believe this utopia-bet so much so that they bristle at calling it such. To the Sun faithful, they&#8217;re betting on inevitability, the march of time. They&#8217;re no doubt practicing the phrase &#8220;I told you so&#8221; in the shower every morning.<\/p>\n<p>That is the Sun ethos in a nutshell.<\/p>\n<h2>Will this Work?<\/h2>\n<p>I&#8217;m not qualified to say how long that plan can be given to pay-out. The Sun share-holders are the ones who hold that answer. I imagine it&#8217;s a tough one to figure out.<\/p>\n<p>Is it a good idea? Sure. It beats circling the drain, waiting for someone to remember to flush. That&#8217;s a harsh way of putting it, but that&#8217;s where Sun was before these jolly visions danced out of Sun leadership&#8217;s head into vision-scape. For where Sun was &#8211; hanging on for dear life to the proprietary UNIX model of systems-dealing and creating a billion dollar market around Java for Oracle, BEA, IBM, and others to gobble up &#8211; this new gamble is sure a lot better. But, yeah, make no mistake, it&#8217;s a gamble. It&#8217;s a bet on a future that hasn&#8217;t happened yet. And there doesn&#8217;t seem to be a back-up plan.<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;ll see you in the future, where we all shall live.<\/p>\n<p><b>Disclaimer:<\/b> Sun is a client, as are IBM and Microsoft.<\/p>\n<p><!-- technorati tags start --><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:10px\">Technorati Tags: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.technorati.com\/tag\/SAS2008\" rel=\"tag\">SAS2008<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.technorati.com\/tag\/sunw\" rel=\"tag\">sunw<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!-- technorati tags end --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sun&#8217;s long term gamble is that the world of IT will lust for open platforms.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,11,12,17,19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1188","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-companies","category-conferences","category-enterprise-software","category-marketing","category-open-source"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/cote\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1188","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/cote\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/cote\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/cote\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/cote\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1188"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/cote\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1188\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/cote\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1188"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/cote\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1188"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redmonk.com\/cote\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1188"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}