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	<title>Coté&#039;s People Over Process &#187; JohnWillis</title>
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		<title>IT Management Podcast #29 &#8211; Whacky Predictions, 2009 Edition</title>
		<link>http://redmonk.com/cote/2008/12/16/itmanagement029/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Dec 2008 00:06:06 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[IT Management Podcast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DaveRosenberg]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[predictions]]></category>

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<p>(<b>Warning:</b> we manage to let slip 2 or 3 four letter words in this episode, so be warned if that offends.)</p>
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<p>For this special episode of the IT Management podcast, we go over our whacky predictions for 2009. <a href="http://www.johnmwillis.com/">John</a> and <a href="http://www.peopleoverprocess.com">I</a> lucky to be joined by <a href="http://news.cnet.com/negative-approach">Dave Rosenberg</a> (see also his <a href="http://www.opensources.com/">Open Sources podcast with </a><a href="http://news.cnet.com/openroad">Matt Asay</a>), self described &#8220;man about town,&#8221; and IT Management Podcast regular <a href="http://leastresistance.net/">Matt Ray</a>, community manager at <a href="http://www.zenoss.com/">Zenoss</a>.</p>
<p>Very quickly, we first review the 2008 whacky predictions (from <a href="http://www.redmonk.com/cote/2008/01/11/it-management-podcast-001-barcampesm-monitoring-the-cloud-2008-predictions-and-more/">our first show</a>, how cute!), all of which were, indeed, whacky save one, which was a sort of timid prediction.</p>
<p>And then it gets into the whack-job free-for-all with all four of throwing out our tech world predictions and discussing each. Sprinkled throughout the truly whacky predictions (Apple buys Sun), we have some pretty rational ones (<a href="http://eucalyptus.cs.ucsb.edu/">Eucalyptus</a> and <a href="http://www.cloudera.com/">Cloudera</a> becoming big deals).</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s an incomplete preview, whacky and sane:</p>
<ul>
<li>Apple launches its own cloud</li>
<li>A net-celeberty lives off their iPhone for a year</li>
<li>US government web-sites get APIs</li>
<li>Amazon starts a marketplace for virtual goods</li>
<li>A major cloud data break occurs</li>
<li>Google buys Yahoo! Or maybe Viacom</li>
<li>Open source startups begin to consolidate as they miss numbers</li>
<li>The return of paying for software, even at low cost. App Store!</li>
<li>Amazon buys DHL</li>
<li>Netbooks become low-cost thin clients</li>
</ul>
<p><b>Disclosure:</b> IBM, Microsoft, Cloudera, and Zenoss are clients, as was Dave&#8217;s former employer, MuleSource. See <a href="http://www.redmonk.com/clients/">the RedMonk client list</a> for other clients mentioned.</p>
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